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January 23, 2006

Busy Being Not Busy

I just noticed that I went five days without providing the Internet with free content, and I apologize.

Thursday was my last class ever, followed by three drinking engagements: one for graduate students, one for undergraduate students, and one with Momus & Co. Friday, I played back-up (toy) keyboard on one song for Kiiiiiii at their Kyodo Apel show. Saturday, I edited some English for a new Gas Book publication, and then went to go see Kiiiiiii again at Superdeluxe. Yesterday, I finished the bass and harpsichord for a song on the album, and then went all the way out to Enoshima to see Tetsuwari (and Asano Tadanobu's UK 90s guitar-band.) I've also been trying to schedule an overseas vacation to the Very Old Country, do some magazine work, and plan out the final recording for my new album.

So that's my excuse.

As for the Livedoor scandal, this is absolutely the hot topic on the streets here, and most people's views fall into three broad categories: 1) Livedoor deserves to pay for wrecking the collusive 1955 system (slow old people, fatcat bureaucrats, magistrates of the Old Economy, the shukanshi), 2) Livedoor has been set up by the "establishment" (IT mavericks, Horie, Yoshikawa Hinano, slow young people), or 3) Livedoor is the New Enron (Leftists, people who probably know what they're talking about).

The theme song for Tokyo these days is Bonnie Tyler's "Holding Out for a Hero," and when Horie triumphantly came on the scene, a lot of people started playing Denise Williams' "Let's Hear it For the Boy" instead. (The Footloose soundtrack is enormously popular in Japan, second only to the Pretty in Pink O.S.T.) I'm not sure Livedoor is going to turn out to be the next massively corrupt corporation in the WorldCom mold, but clearly Horie has not proven himself to be Kevin Bacon material. This is why M&A deals, like movies, should end on a happy note - in the hidden second half of the story, the Midwestern teenagers of the town realize that dancing is kind of lame and push to reinstate the dancing ban.

Update 6:44 pm: They've decided to arrest Horie tonight. Whether he is the Japanese Ken Lay or not, the speed of this process suggets that the System really had it in for this guy... But when the John Lithgows stage a live-televised raid on the New Economy and it crashes the Nikkei, the people need to see that this legal payback is not just petty revenge, but the valiant government saving the populace from an evil corporate tyrannt.

Posted by marxy at January 23, 2006 4:10 PM

Comments

I haven't heard a single person comment about this. Hardly the "hot topic on the streets". And Livedoor is much, much, much smaller than Enron. It's just another dot bomb, founded on lies and BS, dazzling those who don't know any better, except about 5 years too late. What's the big deal? The 4th category of opinion, in my experience the most common, and which you left off your list: "Livedoor is a nothing company, inflated with hot air and sustained by idiots hoping to make a quick buck off the next round of idiots, which is meeting its inevitable demise as the truth comes out".

What are those songs you're talking about? Where do you hear them?! I haven't heard them anywhere, not on the news, not anywhere. Hardly the "theme song for Tokyo"?!

Either you're hanging around with a crowd that is OBSESSED with this story, or you're blowing it out of all proportion, or you're making it all up. I just sat in 3 coffee shops for 4 hours and heard an awful lot of conversation and gossip, but I didn't hear the words "Livedoor" or "Horie" even once.

Posted by: Sho at January 23, 2006 11:28 PM

You don't believe that the Japanese understand the Livedoor scandal as through the prism of Footloose?

Most of the channels had "Urgent News" breaks that Horie got arrested. It's hard to say that this hasn't developed into an enormous story at this point.

Posted by: marxy at January 23, 2006 11:41 PM

Sho needs to get some real friends.

Posted by: nsf at January 24, 2006 1:50 AM

It's gone from 堀江もん to 堀江ブタ to 堀江容疑者 in record time.

He's dethroned, demoralized, detained and facing delistation.

Sever Yahoo! news updates per hour for the last few days -- it's major.

2:00am - Fuji Terebi prexy wants financial recompense.


Posted by: jasong at January 24, 2006 2:11 AM

Well you would have heard people saying "Horiemon", like he is some yakiniku or something. And seriously, people are talking about this. And these people are in Japan. And they are Japanese too, mostly. And they ALL have Bonnie Tyler on their iPods.

Posted by: joey at January 24, 2006 2:11 AM

Neither I, nor any of the japanese I asked, have any idea what you are talking about. Bonnie Tyler? The Footloose soundtrack? WTF?

Of course I hear people talk. I'm not saying it's a non-story, of course it's news. It's a largish company, and the emerging scandal, while kinda expected, is still hardly a positive development. But you're making out it's some kind of large-scale cultural event. Saying that people are associating these events with songs? And "when Horie triumphantly came on the scene, a lot of people started playing Denise Williams' "Let's Hear it For the Boy" " .. ?

Er, no they're not. And as the charming "real friends" comment .. if you're hanging around people who have Bonnie Tyler on their iPods, it's not me who should be considering finding better friends.

Posted by: Sho at January 24, 2006 6:28 AM

I just saw some freeta playing chicken on some huge tractors out on Yamate-dori.

Posted by: goemon at January 24, 2006 9:29 AM

I must have heard the name horie or some variation of it 40 times today... at a middle school. several times from the students. no one seems unaware of this, and everyone I know has at least an awareness of livedoor for a few months... except my gaijin friends.

sho should get some real friends.

Posted by: nate at January 24, 2006 3:08 PM

I wouldn't be hard on Sho - he didn't even have an upbringing that involved the Footloose soundtrack!

Posted by: marxy at January 24, 2006 3:12 PM

yeah, mayne i dont know about tokyo, but up here in hokkaido this has been the story on the news non-stop 24/7 for the past several days, it never seems to not be on TV. and while my students (高校生) probably couldn't articulate the intricacies of the investigation prosecution, they all know about it and have a fair amount of interest in it, to the point where we discussed it for half-an-hour during long home room on friday, and will probably discuss it again this week.

and while i dig the footloose references (kenny loggins=unfuckwithable) everytime i'm in tokyo i hear far more queen than anyhting else.

Posted by: youngjames at January 24, 2006 3:42 PM

thank you for your link. I don't know about being put together all alone with the Leftists though, given my political and economic leanings. Let this be a warning to people who are hoping to read some lucid socialist commentary at the link (had a few people visit via your blog yesterday).

I should be reading your blog at home because your flavour of cynical humour and commentary has had me grinning like a cheshire cat and the people sitting across from me are getting uncomfortable....

Posted by: fukumimi at January 24, 2006 5:29 PM

Yes people are talking. My days are spent in Marunouchi/Otemachi so I hear a certain kind of talk about this from a certain kind of people, but wherever else I go I hear it.

If this were a Greek tragedy, right about now us rule of law/free market people would be the impotent chorus wailing "we told you so" while the hero rushes off to his pre-ordained doom.

Aneha who? Huser what? TSE failures where? Banking scandals wah?

And dont you just love how the media has become a pack of wild dogs waiting to tear up the corpse of Horiemon?

I think someone on Joi Ito's site pointed out that if indeed the books were cooked, that is illegal (thogh VERY common practice in Japanese accounting according to the methods reported) but the share exchange takeover method used does not seem to be illegal in Japan.

I really need to go on a media fast or go read some Momus right about now...

Posted by: Chris_B at January 24, 2006 9:06 PM

What happened to Yoshikawa Hinano anyway?

Posted by: guest at January 24, 2006 9:47 PM

M&A using stock rather than shares are not a problem, of course.

Using intermediaries in takeovers per se is not the problem, it is the use of this mechanism (when the intermediaries are not independent but under de facto control of the buyer and therefore for all intents and purposes the acqusition has been completed) together with the delayed reporting of this acquisition timed to manipulate the stock market.

When the acquisition of Money Life was announced, it was already a de facto member of the Livedoor group.

Lots of other inconsistencies are being reported regarding this transaction.

Posted by: fukumimi at January 24, 2006 10:31 PM

The TV news has been talking about nothing else but Livedoor for over an hour now.

fukumimi: your point is well taken but I regard that as a structural problem that shareholder disclosure laws are far too lax. Again, as I understand it, Livedoor did not violate the law with their method even considering the late reporting. Of course I may be wrong.

Posted by: Chris_B at January 24, 2006 10:54 PM

Absolutely agreed that the structural problems are a key issue (and as far as the bigger picture is concerned, much more important than Livedoor itself). Legislators and regulators need to wake up. Don't hold your breath.

I think there is a distinction which needs to be made regarding the acqusition reporting. Even if it was late, if the announcement reflected the acquisition date as being the date when Money Life became a de facto member of the Livedoor group (by being purchased by the investment fund), rather than the date when the investment fund transferred Money Life stock to Livedoor Finance in an intra-group transaction, I would not see this as being a problem. However, it appears the latter transaction was announced as the acquisition, and is being reported that it was done so as a part of a set of moves designed specifically to manipulate Livedoor Finance's share price. The information being leaked out by the Prosecutor's Office is pointing in this direction.

Posted by: fukumimi at January 25, 2006 12:03 AM